Monthly Archives: March 2015

WP 4. Monitoring

MODUM • March 14, 2015,

This work package will be focused on the preparation of a suitable and operational monitoring strategy. It will also include sample and environmental parameters collection from the dumpsites, sample analysis as well as data management and assimilation into the models developed. Equipment tests and selection will be performed within WP3 Survey

Task 4.1 Moored Station

A moored station collecting oceanographic data affecting local mixing and sediment erosion processes will be deployed in the most hydrodynamically important area for the dumpsites region already during the test stage, built from existing equipment of IOPAS and IORAS. This will provide data for selection of best sensors and locations for the moored station in the later stage.

Data collection will start already in month 9, supplementing the data collected within the test period.

Once monitoring areas are established by WP3 Survey, possible repositioning of the moored station to collect oceanographic data influencing monitored sites will be performed. Throughout the project, several cruises are planned which will include data readout, maintenance and deployments of mooring in various areas.

Task 4.2 Environmental data collection

Once the key areas have been identified and surveyed by AUV, ROV and ship-based missions will commence. Missions will be performed from the research vessels participating in the project and from smaller boats, the latter either supplied by IORAS in the frame of national contribution, or hired from the project budget. Small craft handling training will be performed for IOPAS scientists, to enhance their possibilities for operation on hired boats.

During the cruises, oceanographic and chemistry data will be collected, by means of ship based/towed sensors, and AUV based sensors. Key environmental variables will be measured, including oxygen concentration, bottom current speed and direction, turbulence, temperature and salinity. ROVs equipped with video solutions will be used to create pictures of sea bottom for habitat damage evaluation.

Task.4.3 Sampling

Sampling missions include the use of ROV for sampling sediments in the vicinity of chemical munitions. Collected samples will be stored, and if additional funds will become available, will be a subject of detailed chemical contaminant analysis.

For selected samples, laboratory analyses of Arsenic speciation will be performed. Milestones of this stage will include: a study on portable methods suitability for CWA monitoring, pollution distribution near selected objects, and an input into Environmental Risk Assessment calculation.

Starting from the first year, two fish sampling campaigns will be conducted, if possible, connected to AUV data on objects location. Fish health studies will be performed, to assess CWA effect on biota. The data obtained will then be used for WP5 Environmental Risk Assessment.

Task 4.4 Data center

Simultaneously, a data center will be constructed, and procedures established for data collection and sharing between different work packages.

Deliverables of this part are the procedures for data assimilation and the database for collection of monitoring data.

Once the data center is operational, it will receive data from both moored and mobile parts of the monitoring network, providing it for assimilation in WP5.

This WP constitutes 30% of overall project success.

WP3 Survey

MODUM • March 14, 2015,

This work package will be focused on identifying and defining the areas for future monitoring. It will include the selection of best equipment, based on the scientific expertise and field tests.

Task. 3.1 Equipment and post-processing methods

WP3 starts with the selection of optimal sensors and equipment. This will include Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUV) with payload including acoustic sensors and magnetometer, as well as Eco-mapping capabilities and Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROV) equipped with video and acoustic cameras, for objects detection and identification, and multi sample collection system This task will also select the best equipment for the WP4 Monitoring. Based on experience of co-directors, best equipment will be selected and rented for the test purposes.

Test cruises will be performed in month 6. A test cruise will be performed in cooperation with NATO CMRE Center in the Mediterranean Sea in month 6. An additional test cruise, if needed, will be performed in the Baltic Sea in Month 9. If additional tests are needed, they will be extended in month 9.

Data collected within test cruises will be postprocessed to obtain high quality results, and data will be verified by cross comparison of multiple instruments and position data of targets. Methods developed at this stage will be the base for data handling within the project.

A deliverable of the test cruises will be a suitability report of tested equipment for WPs 3 and 4.

After the report is completed, market research will follow for the final selection of criteria for selected equipment. The deliverable of this stage will be the specification of terms of reference to be used in public bidding (open tender) procedure for purchasing the equipment.

When the equipment is purchased, ships taking part in the project (IOPAS, FI, IORAS and LEPA) will be adjusted to handle AUVs and ROVs operating in the project. This will include modifications of existing infrastructure to suite deployments, retrievals and data collection from devices used in the project.

Task 3.2 Area Selection

Basing on the results of past research projects, geographical areas will be selected for survey and monitoring. For this purpose, maps representing known object location and density of survey data will be constructed. This will include several potential areas: primary and secondary dumpsite areas in Bornholm Deep, parts of Gotland Deep dumpsite and Gdańsk Deep. Based on probability of ammunition detection, ecological importance and needed survey time, three areas will be selected for surveying and monitoring activities.

Deliverable of this task will include maps of high and medium priority areas to be covered by survey and monitoring.

Task 3.3 Surveying areas for monitoring

After the completion of previous activities, missions will be commenced with the use of AUVs and ROVs.

Missions will be performed from the ships participating in the project, using as little ship time as possible – possibly in parallel with other research activities. Also, suitability of small boats will be assessed to perform AUV missions. Two types of surveys are predicted – Area Wide Assessment (AWA) and a Detailed Survey and Investigation (DSI). At the beginning of the project, AWA missions will be commenced in previously (3.2) defined areas, starting with high priority and extending to medium priority if time permits. During AWA missions, AUV will be deployed with acoustic and magnetometric gear in a densely spaced grid to detect the objects resting on the sea bottom. Data will be received and post-processed by project geophysicists and provided to project data center to evaluate object classes, and probability of the object being sea- dumped chemical munitions. Most promising (class 1) objects will be included in DSI. DSI will use AWA data to visit class 1 objects by ROV and provide visual or high resolution acoustic data from different angles to prepare the list of chemical munitions objects to be used in WP4 Monitoring. Further reduction of false-positive targets, especially from buried objects, will be possible by the use of larger ROV, capable of careful uncovering of munitions covered by mud. Due to limited funds, such ROV will be used only in the Bornholm dumpsite, for a 10 day campaign, including transit and downtime in case of bad weather. Project team will investigate additional funding sources to enhance this type of survey also to other areas. Quality management of data will be provided by performing periodic tests and calibration of survey equipment – by means of external experts from NATO CMRE participating in project cruises and by calibrating equipment in controlled harbor conditions.

Milestones for this period will include detailed maps of future monitoring areas and a list of probable CWA objects therein. An idea is to have a representative portion of the dumpsite thoroughly mapped, which will serve as a sound base for monitoring and risk assessment. This work package represents 20% of the project success.

ECORisk

MODUM • March 14, 2015,

Advances of modeling on model requirements (based on assessment in model requirments, Task 5.6, deliverable 5.6.1., WP5 – Environmental Risk Assesment)

 

Jaromir Jakacki, Institute of Oceanology PAS

Mariya Golenko, Institute of Oceanology RAS

 

            As the main tools in the modeling part of this project it is planned to use two models:

1)        Community Earth System Model (CESM) recently developed at National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR). The Baltic Sea version of this model was created and developed at the Institute of Oceanology. The model was implemented for the following configuration:

a)         advection is represented by central difference operator,

b)        biharmonic horizontal mixing,

c)         modified k-profile parameterization for vertical mixing. The modification has been done for vertical viscosity coefficient for turbulence profile similar to Mellor-Yamada which is mostly used for shelf seas like Baltic Sea,

d)        the dependence on the bottom cell thickness was added to the bottom drag for better representation of the bottom friction,

e)         at the model boundary, in the Kattegat sea level from Goteborg was assimilated – gradient of the difference between real and modeled sea level has been added to the barotropic equation,

f)         Orlanski open boundary was also implemented at the model boundary

g)        the model has horizontal resolution about ~2.3 km (1/48 degrees) and 66 vertical levels. Model domain, bathymetry and vertical levels are presented on the figure 1.

h)        The model is forced by ECMWF ERA40 reanalysis and by data from model UM used as the European operational weather forecasting system.

2)        Princeton Ocean Model

POM is a free surface, hydrostatic, sigma coordinate hydrodynamic model with an imbedded second and a half moment turbulence closure sub-model (Mellor, Yamada 1982). The modeling domain comprises of a wide area from the Arcona to the Gotland Basins (fig. 2) with a horizontal resolution of ~ 1.8 km along X and Y directions. The bottom topography is taken from source (Seifert, Kayser 1995). 36 sigma layers are specified. The vertical grid size is logarithmically refined towards the bottom in order to resolve BBL.

On the partly opened lateral boundaries the radiation condition (Blumberg, Mellor 1987, Androsov, Voltzinger 2005) as well as the data of other models comprising the considering area are used. Previously this configuration of POM was adapted for the Central and South-East Baltic and verified with detailed CTD and ADCP field data (Golenko et al. 2009, 2012).

Real atmospheric forcing is prescribed on the surface. Two components of the wind stress, air temperature at 2m height above the sea, air pressure, humidity, precipitation and total cloudiness are interpolated from the HIRLAM grid (10km resolution in both horizontal directions) into the POM grid. All these variables are used to calculate the heat flux onto the surface. The initial temperature (T) and salinity (S) stratifications can be interpolated from other models (for ex. HIROMB: 1nm resolution in horizontal directions and 5m in vertical) as well as set horizontally homogeneous corresponding to mean profiles observed in the considering region in the particular season.

Figure 1. Model domain, bathymetry (color scale is in levels) and vertical resolution plot (inside the picture).

 

Figure 2. The bottom topography of the Central and South-East Baltic. The presented area is the modeling domain on the base of POM. Red spots denote the points where the lagrangian particles were released from in the BBL. Green spots denote dumpsites of the chemical munitions and supposed to be considered in the project.

 

 

 

As a first step it is planned to have the models at the same state. It means the models will be started from the same initial conditions; the same atmospheric fields will force both of them. Then the results from both models will be compared and it would be focused on the bottom currents. The main goal of this important part of the project is to combine measurements and modeling. Data from moored stations and AUV’s will be compared with both model results and then the models will be tuned up for having the most similar results. The last step is to apply assimilation where it will be possible. The main planned work is presented on the diagram (on the next page).